Il web del 2009

Ho letto questa mattina le 2009 Web Predictions stilate dal team di Read Write Web. In generale, sembra che la sfida che caratterizzerà l’anno nuovo sarà la stardardizzazione dei meccanismi di autenticazione: su tutti, sembra prevalere la probabile affermazione di Facebook Connect, che si contrappone ad una scuola di pensiero open, sostenitrice della causa di OpenID.
Ho trovato spunti interessanti e condivisibili. I primi due rievocano il contrasto di cui sopra, ritratti da Marshall Kirkpatrick.

Facebook will continue to surprise; I love to hate Facebook1, but Mark Zuckerberg and company keep bringing me back to a state of…impressed. I wish open standards ruled the world, but Facebook Connect is so compelling that it can’t be ignored. I’d like to see Data Portability prioritized a touch above full-blown privacy, but Facebook’s relatively tame version of portability is getting real traction while others are stuck in the land of promises and proofs of concept.

Big companies will have incentive to give OpenID more support because of Facebook’s domination; Support has been relatively tepid in the past. When you’re winning, open standards aren’t in your interest. When you aren’t, they become much more appealing. MySpace, AOL, Yahoo – all have made meaningful moves to support OpenID before, but now that Facebook is clearly dominating them all, I expect to see these companies make bigger moves towards OpenID and other standards.

Rick Turoczy punta i riflettori sul mondo mobile e, ironia a parte, formula due previsioni non priva di probabilità.

Under pressure from iPhone, Android, Symbian, and RIM; Windows Mobile will attempt to reinvent itself. Unfortunately for Microsoft, it will be about as successful as Vista and the Zune.

One of the major gaming platform companies – Nintendo, Sega, Sony – will begin acquiring small iPhone development shops in an effort to translate titles to the iPhone format and to corner the market on iPhone gaming.

Ed infine, Bernard Lunn scommette su qualcosa della quale potrò discutere ed approfondire di persona con gli indiani che affolleranno la nostra facoltà a fine mese (Antonio non sarà molto contento).

More Indian start-ups go global with price-smashing strategy.

E voi, cosa vedete nella crystal ball?

1: me not :). ^

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